[LifeSiteNews] 21 Sep 2008--A new study has found that polls conducted prior to elections tend to greatly underestimate voter support for true marriage amendments that are set to appear on the election ballots. The study suggests that California's Proposition 8, which will appear on November's ballot, is likely more widely supported than pollsters claim.
The study, which compared polling in 26 states, found that polls conducted prior to elections underestimated support for true marriage measures by an average of 7%. In some cases, polls undershot the true acceptance of a measure by as much as 21%. Only in Arizona did support for marriage actually drop when voters hit the booths, by 3 percentage points.
While the latest traditional marriage proposition, Proposition 8 in California, appears, according to some polls, to be out of favor with voters, the study suggests it's highly likely that Proposition 8 is not in as much peril as pollsters are claiming.
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